Tax Avoidance, Risk, and Profitability Shaping Debt Costs in Emerging Market Manufacturing Companies Listed on IDX
Abstract
Introduction/Main Objectives: This study examines whether tax avoidance, tax risk, and profitability affect the cost of debt of food and beverage manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during 2020–2024. Novelty: The study integrates tax avoidance, tax risk, and profitability in one panel-data model and focuses on the food and beverage subsector during a period marked by post-pandemic financial adjustment. Research Methods: Secondary data were obtained from annual financial statements. Purposive sampling produced eight companies and 40 firm-year observations. Tax avoidance was proxied by Cash Effective Tax Rate (CETR), tax risk by the standard deviation of CETR, profitability by Return on Assets (ROA), and cost of debt by interest expense relative to total debt. The data were analyzed using panel regression with EViews 13 and a Fixed Effect Model. Finding/Results: Tax avoidance and tax risk do not have significant partial effects on the cost of debt, whereas profitability has a significant effect. The three variables jointly have a significant effect on the cost of debt. Conclusion: Creditors appear to assess financing risk more comprehensively, with profitability providing a stronger individual signal than the two tax-related variables.
References
Baltagi, B. H. (2021). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data (6th Edition). Springer.
Creswell, J. W. (2021). Research Design: Qualitative, Quantitative, and Mixed Methods Approaches (6th Edition). SAGE Publications.
Ghozali. (2020). 25 Grand Theory Teori Besar Ilmu Manajemen, Akuntansi Dan Bisnis. Yoga Pratama.
Ghozali, I. (2021). Aplikasi Analisis Multivariate dengan Program IBM SPSS 26 (10th ed.). Badan Penerbit Universitas Diponegoro. https://drive.google.com/file/d/1flljScv1P0kSJY0eAyIK4X-ooztV23zS/view?usp=drivesdk
Graham, J. R., Hanlon, M., Shevlin, T., & Shroff, N. (2014). Incentives for Tax Planning and Avoidance: Evidence from the Field. The Accounting Review, 89(3), 991–1023.
Gujarati, D. N., & Porter, D. C. (2021). Basic Econometrics (6th Edition). McGraw-Hill Education.
Hardianti, A., & Darsita, I. (2025). Pengaruh Tax Avoidance, Risiko Pajak, dan Ukuran Perusahaan terhadap Cost of Debt. Jurnal Akuntansi Dan Keuangan.
Janah, I. R., & Purwanto, A. (2024). Pengaruh Environmental, Social, Governance dan Profitabilitas Terhadap Cost of Debt serta Cost of Capital pada Perusahaan yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia (Studi Kasus pada Perusahaan yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2020-2022). Diponegoro Journal of Accounting, 13(4), 1–15. https://ejournal3.undip.ac.id/index.php/accounting/article/view/47919
Kovermann, J. H. (2018). Tax avoidance, tax risk and the cost of debt in a bank-dominated economy. Managerial Auditing Journal, 33(8/9), 683–699. https://doi.org/10.1108/MAJ-12-2017-1734
Lestari, N. M. S. I., & Kusuma, P. S. A. (2024). Pengaruh Tax Avoidance, Earnings Management, dan Profitabilitas Terhadap Cost of Debt Pada Perusahaan Sektor Pertambangan di BEI (2021–2023). Jurnal Akuntansi Dan Pajak (JAP), 25(2). https://jurnal.stie-aas.ac.id/index.php/jap/article/view/14466
Napitupulu, D., Iskandar, A., Siregar, R. T., & Simarmata, J. (2021). Metodologi Penelitian Kuantitatif. Yayasan Kita Menulis.
Richardson, G. (2021). Corporate Tax Avoidance and Governance. Routledge.
Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R., & Jaffe, J. (2019). Fundamentals of Corporate Finance. McGraw-Hill.
Safitri, M., Dethan, A., & Muga, M. P. L. (2025). Pengaruh Penghindaran Pajak dan Risiko Pajak terhadap Biaya Utang pada Perusahaan Manufaktur yang Terdaftar di BEI Tahun 2021–2023. Jurnal Ekonomi Bisnis Dan Akuntansi, 5(3), 462–474. https://journalshub.org/index.php/jebaku/article/view/5967
Sagala, A. G., & Sinaga, J. T. G. (2022). Pengaruh Tax Risk dan Tax Avoidance terhadap Cost of Debt Pada Perusahaan Perbankan yang Terdaftar Pada BEI Tahun 2018-2021. Jurnal Ilmiah MEA, 6.
Scott, W. R. (2022). Financial Accounting Theory (8th Edition). Pearson.
Widianti, D., & Winedar, M. (2021). Pengaruh Tax Avoidance, Profitabilitas, dan Kepemilikan Institusional terhadap Cost of Debt pada Perusahaan Manufaktur yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2019–2021. Jurnal Akuntansi Dan Keuangan.
Wilde, J. H., & Wilson, R. J. (2021). Perspectives on Corporate Taxation and Tax Risk. Now Publishers.
Wooldridge, J. M. (2021). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th Edition). Cengage Learning.
Zamifa, F., Hasanah, N., & Khairunnisa, H. (2022). Pengaruh Tax Avoidance dan Risiko Pajak Terhadap Biaya Utang pada Perusahaan Manufaktur yang Terdaftar di BEI (2016–2020). Jurnal Akuntansi Dan Keuangan (JAK), 10(1), 109–118. https://ojs.unimal.ac.id/index.php/jak/article/view/6612

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.












